Recession Signal As Consumers Struggle To Pay Bills

How Will AI-Driven Automation Actually Affect Jobs? Authored by Alex Imas and Soumitra Shukla via Ghosts of Electricity, One of the most widely cited findings in AI policy comes from a 2023 paper by Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin, and Rock titled “GPTs are GPTs.” The title is a nice double meaning: the paper studies how general-purpose technologies (GPTs) powered by large language models (also GPTs) may reshape the labor market. The headline finding is that around 80% of U.S. workers could have at least 10% of their tasks affected by LLMs, and...

Medicore 30Y Auction Has First Tail Since November After a solid 3Y auction and a tepid 10Y auction earlier this week, moments ago the Treasury concluded the final coupon auction of the week, when it sold $22 billion in a 30 year reopening in what was another average auction. The sale stopped at a high yield of 4.876%, virtually unchanged from 4.871% a month ago and the highest since last July. It also tailed the When Issued 4.871% by 0.5bps, the first tail since November. The bid to cover was 2.385,...

An Iranian official on Wednesday suggested that Yemen’s Houthis, officially known as Ansar Allah, could close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which connects the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea, if the US launches ground operations against Iran. So far, the Houthis, who govern an area of Yemen where most of the population lives, have […]