Recession Signal As Consumers Struggle To Pay Bills

Inflation Fears Plummet As UMich Sees Democrats' Confidence Pick Up In February After rebounding strongly in preliminary February data (as Democrats came to their senses over the fearmongered Trump tariff-flation), the final UMich sentiment survey print slipped lower with the headline lowered from 57.3 to 56.6. Both Current Conditions and Expectations were lower than the flash print with the latter falling to 2 month lows and the former holding at 4-month highs... Does anyone else think its weird that all the numbers were exactly the same at 56.6 Source: Bloomberg Democrats and Republicans...

The US Dollar: From Exceptional To Average? Authored by Eva Sun-Wai via BondVigilantes.com, The dollar’s slide last year looks less like a sudden break and more like the culmination of pressures that have been gathering for a while. The fading of US exceptionalism has sat quietly in the background, and once the narrative started to normalise, the cracks became clearer: softer growth expectations, slower capital inflows, and valuations that had been leaning heavily on the idea that the US could keep outperforming indefinitely. The currency came into the year heavily owned...