Reckless Provocations w/Scott Horton

"Bit Of Chaos": Hormuz Shuts Agains As Ships Make U-Turn The Trump administration’s "baffle 'em with bullshit" methodology has been on full display, as the reopening of the Hormuz chokepoint on Friday drove a broad risk-on in markets: US equities soared, crude collapsed, and Treasury yields declined, based on the assumption that disruption to global energy flows had eased. However, as of early Saturday morning, those moves may prove premature. The Wall Street Journal reports that the world’s most important maritime chokepoint is once again closed to commercial transit. About 20 ships...

Tomorrow's Testimony: Kevin Warsh To Walk Tightrope On Rates, Inflation And Fed Independence President Donald Trump’s nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, will appear before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday at 10AM ET in what is shaping up to be one of the most politically charged confirmation hearings in the central bank’s modern history. Warsh, a former Fed governor who has spent years criticizing the institution as directionless and in need of “regime change," now has the chance to outline his vision for remaking the world’s most powerful...

Dallas Fed Mfg Activity Holds Near One Year High Despite Plunge In Respondent Sentiment On Iran War The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index continues to straddle the unchanged line, and despite a tiny dip from 0.2 in February, the highest print since July, to -0.2 in March, just below the 1.5 median estimate, the index remained near the highest level in a year and absent a modest and brief, post-Trump election spike, this remains one of the highest prints since mid-2022. Curiously, the headline index barely dropped even though most index components...