Article
Shipping Turmoil Remains Largely Contained To Gulf, For Now
Shipping Turmoil Remains Largely Contained To Gulf, For Now
The world's most critical maritime energy chokepoint has now been closed for 12 weeks, leaving seaborne energy supply chains heavily disrupted. Still, one UBS analyst points out that the shock has yet to meaningfully spill over into broader global shipping outside the Gulf area, suggesting the disruption remains largely contained for now.
"It looks like non-energy related global shipping traffic is running just 4% below normal in May - a bit better than April," UBS analyst Arend Kapteyn wrote in a...
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Why Hasn't Oil Hit $150 (Yet)?
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Authored by Robert Rapier via OilPrice.com,
Global oil inventories and floating storage have acted as temporary shock absorbers against the Hormuz disruption.
OPEC spare capacity has stabilized markets, but it cannot fully replace lost Persian Gulf exports indefinitely.
Prolonged disruption could eventually exhaust market buffers and trigger a much sharper oil price surge.
I think most energy analysts would have been shocked to learn that roughly three months into a total closure of the Strait of Hormuz, oil would be trading at just over $100 a barrel. I...
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