Persistent Delusion Among the American and NATO Defense Establishment

Hindenburg Alarm: Another Rotation Or Worse? Via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, In early November, we sounded the alarm about a recent Hindenburg Omen. Per the Commentary’s summary: Bottom line: market breadth is horrendous and will likely lead to a rotation favoring out-of-favor sectors and stocks. Thus, it’s not surprising that the Hindenburg Omen was triggered. If we continue to see more of these Omens, the threat of a drawdown grows. At the time, Mega-Cap stocks were grossly outperforming the market, while many sectors lagged the market. Since that Hindenburg Alarm, our expectations have come to fruition. We have, in fact,...

New Iran Supreme Leader Chosen, But Identity Concealed, As US-Israeli Strikes Obliterate Tehran's Energy Resources Iran officially announced Sunday that it has chosen its next supreme leader, though the identity of the successor remains under wraps for now, given that already the Assembly of Experts had last week paused the selection process amid the ongoing heavy US-Israeli bombing campaign. The other big concern is that the next Ayatollah of the Islamic Republic will have big target on his back while under the bombs. According to Iran's ISNA news agency, the Assembly...

On The Hidden Fragility Of Our Energy-Dependent World & The Cascading Consequences Of A Supply-Shock That Money Alone Can't Fix Authored by Milan Adams via Preppgroup blog, For a long time, I accepted the same framework most people in finance operate within—that the global economy is, at its core, a system governed by monetary policy, shaped by interest rates, and stabilized by central banks. It’s an appealing idea because it suggests control. If growth slows, you lower rates. If inflation rises, you tighten conditions. If markets panic, you inject liquidity. There is...