Dozens of Iranian Ships Have Broken Trump’s Blockade

Foggy, Foggy War By Michael Every of Rabobank With US stocks up, the Nasdaq with its longest winning streak since 2021, and screen oil down for a second day in a row, markets continue to price the starkly binary physical outcomes smack in front of us on the side that’s full of stardust. The IMF just warned of a potential world recession ahead if Hormuz stays shut. Its latest three global growth scenarios are ‘weaker’, ‘worse’ and ‘severe’ - “because markets”, and politics, the Fund chose the most benign as its base...

Ursula von der Leyen To Visit Armenia Next Week As Pro-EU Aspirations Ramp Up Brussels is eyeing Armenia as the small Caucasus nation has lately made it's pro-EU aspirations known, given just earlier this month Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's party won parliamentary elections, in a vote widely seen as signififying its major pro-Western shift. Pashinyan had claimed a "historic victory that will ensure Armenia’s eternity and development" while also vowing to "continue the course of rapprochement with the West" - but while balancing the pursuit of positive relations with Russia. And now, just days...

Qatari LNG Tanker Abruptly U-Turns In Hormuz Chokepoint After Weekend Transit Breakthrough Day 72 of the U.S.-Iran conflict opened with yet another failed diplomatic off-ramp. Tehran on Sunday submitted a counterproposal to the Trump administration's plan to end the war, but President Trump swiftly rejected it as "totally unacceptable," pushing WTI crude futures roughly 3% higher to $98 a barrel as traders slightly repriced the war-risk premium higher for a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption. Tehran's counterproposal was a major focus over the weekend, but what caught our attention Saturday morning was...