Sunday: RAGE Against the War Machine in San Francisco

Armor-Piercing Ammo Metal Up 557% As China Chokes Supply, War Demand Surges Tungsten, used in missiles, tank rounds, armor-piercing ammunition, and some smaller-caliber munitions, has surged in price over the last year as China curbed exports and global supplies tightened. This is a major concern, as multi-front conflicts - from the Middle East to Eastern Europe - are depleting interceptor missile supplies. Bloomberg cites new data from commodity price reporting agency Fastmarkets showing tungsten prices have surged to $2,250 per metric ton this month, up 557% since Beijing added certain tungsten...

"...The Entire Internet Has Doomer Fatigue" Authored by James Howard Kunstler, "I can tell the entire internet has doomer fatigue." - Catturd on X The mysterious financial repo markets - which practically no one outside of banking understands (and even some banking insiders don't) - started showing some signs of stress recently (forward rates spiking: 1Y1Y SOFR has risen nearly 50 bps in two weeks, signaling growing concern among dealers and investors about future funding costs); though not near the level they did in September 2019, just before You-Know-What sucker-punched the world with...

Is Credit Whispering, Or Screaming? By Peter Tchir of Academy Securities Is Credit Whispering? Or Screaming? For the past couple of years, it has been relatively safe to assume credit is well behaved and relatively range bound. It is unclear if that remains the case. We may be in a situation where the AI spend, the AI displacement, and the Working Poor are forming a storm of some sort. How severe remains to be seen, but for the first time in a while it is a real concern for me. My inclination has been...