Americans' Consumer Confidence Rebounded Dramatically Off COVID Lows In October

Mideast Chaos Sends Supertanker Rates Soaring To $800,000 A Day Supertanker rates on the Baltic Exchange's benchmark Middle East-to-China shipping route have surged to a staggering $800,000 a day. With US forces having destroyed five Iranian-linked tankers and Tehran threatening further escalation in recent days, prospects for near-term stabilization remain limited. The freight surge signals that crude oil and refined products continue to flow but are becoming increasingly costly to transport out of the Gulf region to global markets. According to Bloomberg, US Gulf-to-Asia shipments on very large crude carriers average...

April Fools And The Last Supper By Benjamin Picton, senior market strategist at Rabobank Wednesday saw the unusual occurrence of three Anglosphere heads of government delivering televised addresses to their respective nations within 24 hours of each other. When news broke that Australia’s PM Albanese, Britain’s PM Starmer and US President Trump would all be interrupting regular programming to speak to their people, reactions ranged from jubilant speculation that the war is about to end all the way through to nervousness that Operation Iranian Freedom was about to be announced. Judging by...

US PMIs Mixed But Still Signal Accelerating Economic Growth In Q3 With 'hard data' trending weaker, today's preliminary July PMIs offer the first glimpse at whether the reignition of the Iran War is weighing on 'soft' survey sentiment in the US economy. The data was mixed (as always) with Manufacturing disappointing while Services accelerated more than expected: Flash US Manufacturing PMI: 53.8 (June: 53.9). 4-month low. Flash US Services PMI Business Activity Index: 53.6 (June: 51.2). 8-month high. “US businesses reported a good start to the third quarter," said Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at...