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Bad Inflation Cures Itself. Good Inflation Doesn't
Bad Inflation Cures Itself. Good Inflation Doesn't
Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,
Key Takeaways
Inflation driven by supply shocks is "bad" inflation, and bad inflation is self-liquidating because rising income doesn't support it.
September headline CPI ran 3.7% while core sat at 2.6%. The gap is gasoline, up 34.2% over the year and now more than half of the monthly increase.
Real wages have turned negative, and labor's share of output just set its lowest reading since the series began in 1947.
The 10-year breakeven sits near 2.3%. The market that gets paid to...
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