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Rate Hike Odds Tumble After Warsh Does Not Address October FOMC Meeting
Rate Hike Odds Tumble After Warsh Does Not Address October FOMC Meeting
In our morning wrap we said that market sentiment was boosted overnight following Kevin Warsh's speech at the IMF meeting in Bangkok, specifically "The day's driver is Warsh (or rather what he didn't say): with the blackout starting Saturday, the Fed chair declined to push back on rate expectations and instead talked up a "massive investment surge" from AI."
Goldman set the context, with its chief economist Jan Hatzius writing in a note overnight that in comments at the IMF’s...
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May 18, 2026 / Tyler Durden
California Republicans Gain Early Voting Edge In June Primary
California Republicans Gain Early Voting Edge In June Primary
Via American Greatness,
California Republicans are showing unexpected momentum heading into the state’s June 2 primary election, posting stronger early voting numbers while Democrats remain divided across several high-profile races.
More than 900,000 ballots have already been returned in California’s all-mail primary system, according to data compiled by Political Data Intelligence. The early numbers indicate Republicans are outperforming expectations in a state long dominated by Democrats.
As of May 15, Republican turnout stood at 6 percent statewide, compared to 4 percent for Democrats. Despite...
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Apr 21, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Halliburton Sees First Signs Of Life In America's Oil Patch: "We Are In Early Innings"
Halliburton Sees First Signs Of Life In America's Oil Patch: "We Are In Early Innings"
An emerging theme we are focusing on is the early stage of a major capex upcycle in America's oil patch, with even Goldman now moving in that direction and forecasting a boom that could echo the industry's expansion cycle of the early 2000s.
Continental Resources CEO Doug Lawler was the first of the major oil patch players to mention in early April that "Continental is increasing our capital budget, which will increase production."
Now, another giant...
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May 5, 2026 / Tyler Durden
US Navy Destroyers Transit Hormuz Strait As Iranian Factions Reportedly Clash Over UAE Attacks; Pentagon Insists Ceasefire Still On




