Oil Drops Despite 3.1 Million Drop In Crude Inventories, Diesel Spikes

US Gasoline Inventories Plunging On Surging Exports, Resilient Demand Prompt Brent/WTI crude nearby futures increased by 5/7% week-over-week to $105/101 as flows through the Strait of Hormuz remained very low and on limited signs of progress on a US-Iran deal. Meanwhile, as global oil inventories collapse at a record pace yet sliding Chinese demand and strategic releases from Beijing keep crude prices relatively stable, Goldman writes that the US gasoline market has become very tight, with inventories drawing at a rapid average pace of 0.7mb/d since April 1st to 5% below their...

Savings Rate Slides As Fed's Favorite Inflation Gauge Slowed In February (Ahead Of War) The Fed's favorite inflation indicator - Core PCE (a measure of price changes in consumer goods and services that excludes volatile food and energy costs) - rose 0.4% MoM in February (pre-war), in line with expectations, with YoY rising 3.0% (as expected - lowest since Dec), down from January's +3.1%... Source: Bloomberg The YoY Core decline is coming off January's highest level since March 2024, with Services cost inflation slowing notably... The headline PCE also rose 0.4% MoM (as...

Key Events This Week: Jobs, ISMs, Fed Speakers And More Earnings On Deck The week ahead will be dominated by the US labor market, with the JOLTS report tomorrow, the ADP employment survey on Wednesday, and building up to Friday’s July employment report. Beyond the US, investors will be watching Swiss inflation today, Swedish inflation on Thursday, German activity data throughout the week (culminating in trade and industrial production figures on Friday), Chinese PMI releases on Wednesday ahead of trade data on Friday, and Japanese wage data and BoJ communications...