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Bolsonaro, Lula Neck-And-Neck As Brazil Markets Bet On Rightward Shift
Bolsonaro, Lula Neck-And-Neck As Brazil Markets Bet On Rightward Shift
Brazil's October 4 general election is around the corner and is already sparking a rally in local markets, with a presidential runoff expected on October 25.
Right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro is statistically tied with socialist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in potential runoff scenarios.
"Brazilian elections could not be more uncertain and competitive, as recent polls demonstrate. Voting intentions now show right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro technically tied with current President Lula in a potential second-round runoff. This political shift comes as...
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Sep 14, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Paramount Threatens California Exit That Could Cost State Billions
Paramount Threatens California Exit That Could Cost State Billions
Paramount could pull nearly 58,000 jobs and $21 billion in annual economic activity out of California if the company follows through on a threat to relocate its headquarters and operations amid an antitrust fight over its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, according to a preliminary economic analysis from the Los Angeles County Economic Development Corp.'s (LAEDC) Institute for Applied Economics, which was obtained by Politico.
If no resolution is achieved, Paramount has threatened to begin moving its headquarters and thousands of jobs...
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Jun 4, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Since 2022 Just A Handful Of Countries Have Driven All Sovereign Gold Demand
Since 2022 Just A Handful Of Countries Have Driven All Sovereign Gold Demand
The 2008 financial crisis marked a structural shift in central bank behaviour
Back in January, UBS showed that most of last year’s increase in gold prices was driven by US policy shocks boosting private demand.
The bulk of the gold price increase last year can be attributed to US policy shifts: UBS
Running in parallel, however, has been a more gradual but persistent rise in official sector gold holdings. A common narrative, one which was started largely on this website,...
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Feb 23, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Supreme Court Tariff "Bomb"? Fears Of A $200 Billion Refund Shock Are Overdone
Supreme Court Tariff "Bomb"? Fears Of A $200 Billion Refund Shock Are Overdone
Authored by Daniel Lacalle,
The market consensus reaction to the Supreme Court ruling on the Liberation Day tariffs exaggerates the negatives and ignores the options of the Trump administration.
Markets are overreacting to headlines about a $175–200 billion tariff refund financial hole. However, the Supreme Court ruling opens a long, narrow, and manageable process, not an imminent fiscal crisis.
In the days after the Supreme Court struck down the Trump Liberation Day tariffs, many sell-side analysts turned a complex legal...
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