US Launches Airstrikes Across Iran’s Coast

Dispersion And Correlation Are Screaming Overbought, Downside Hedging Is Cheap Submitted by SpotGamma CBOE’s Dispersion Index (DSPX) is at levels only seen during Covid and the April ’25 tariff crash, while Correlation (COR1M) is near all-time lows. This divergence signals extreme positioning risk driven by the AI stock chase, and makes SPY downside hedges historically cheap. Traders have been chasing AI related names in such heavy-handed fashion that it has now created positioning risk for the stock market. Encapsulating this view are two popular CBOE options indexes: Dispersion (DSPX) and Correlation (COR1M). What Are...

Why Hasn't Oil Hit $150 (Yet)? Authored by Robert Rapier via OilPrice.com, Global oil inventories and floating storage have acted as temporary shock absorbers against the Hormuz disruption. OPEC spare capacity has stabilized markets, but it cannot fully replace lost Persian Gulf exports indefinitely. Prolonged disruption could eventually exhaust market buffers and trigger a much sharper oil price surge. I think most energy analysts would have been shocked to learn that roughly three months into a total closure of the Strait of Hormuz, oil would be trading at just over $100 a barrel. I...

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has declared that formally occupy the whole of Lebanese territory south of the Litani River, and will commit to a policy of totally leveling the villages along the border of the occupied territory and northern Israel. Katz had talked up an occupation in everything but name last week, talking of […]