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Americans' Confidence Dips In August As Chicago PMI Plunges Into Contraction
Americans' Confidence Dips In August As Chicago PMI Plunges Into Contraction
The MNI Chicago PMI for August was a disaster, printing below even the worst analyst's expectations.
Against expectations of a rise to 57.9, the headline print crashed from 57.6 to 47.1 (flashing recession signals)...
Prices paid accelerated while the overall business barometer plunged into contraction.
That is the biggest MoM drop since COVID...
However, in the face of that collapse in business confidence, UMich reported US consumer sentiment fell in August for the first time in three months on a worsening economic outlook,...
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Oct 11, 2026 / Dave DeCamp
Trump Again Claims That Russia and Ukraine Have Agreed to an Energy Ceasefire
President Trump on Sunday claimed that Russia and Ukraine agreed to halt attacks on each other’s energy infrastructure, repeating a claim he made nearly a month ago that turned out not to be true. “Effective immediately, there is an ENERGY CEASEFIRE in the War between Russia and Ukraine. Both parties have agreed. Do not break […]
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Jul 20, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Judge Slaps A 14-Day Timeout On Paramount-Warner Bros. Mega-Merger
Judge Slaps A 14-Day Timeout On Paramount-Warner Bros. Mega-Merger
A federal judge just threw a wrench into one of the biggest media shake-ups in years. On Monday, U.S. District Judge Araceli Martinez-Olguin (Biden) temporarily blocked Paramount Skydance's $110 billion takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery, giving a coalition of 12 state attorneys general a short-term win in their fight to kill the deal.
The temporary restraining order lasts 14 days - half the 28 days the states had requested - and prevents Paramount from closing the transaction that would combine two historic...
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Oct 4, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Something Is Rotten In The State Of Yields
Something Is Rotten In The State Of Yields
Submitted by Peter Tchir of Academy Securities
Treasuries, European Sovereign, and even Credit. Something seemed rotten this week, with Thursday’s price action in all 3 of those markets triggering the need to focus on this more. Debt markets underpin the entire global financial system and when things don’t “look,” or “feel,” or “smell” right, it warrants our collective attention. Yes, “feel” or “smell” doesn’t seem compelling as some authoritative answer, but that doesn’t mean it isn’t worth exploring.
For the past few weeks,...
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