Central Banking: The Scourge Of Civilization

Tailing 30Y Auction Prices At Highest Yield In 25 Years After yesterday's ugly 10Y auction, moments ago we got the last of the week's refunding auctions, when the Treasury sold $25BN in 30Y paper (the same paper that has seen yield shoot up in the past week, ever since Warsh's most recent FOMC meeting in which he left the long-end hang out to dry), and just like the 10Y auction before it, this one was also rather deplorable. Pricing at a high yield of 5.216%, the auction tailed the When Issued...

On Tuesday, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said that Islamabad was making progress in mediating a ceasefire between Washington and Tehran. The White House approved Sharif’s statement before it was posted, and it explained the truce would cover all warring parties.  The New York Times reported on Thursday that Washington reviewed and approved Sharif’s statement […]

The Passive Aggressive Market: Bogle's Warning Came True Authored by Michael Lebowitz via realinvestmentadvice.com, Since the pandemic, the line between passive investing and aggressive speculation has blurred. The current bout of speculative fervor extends beyond financial markets. For instance, we see the same impulse in the explosion of sports betting and the surge in event-betting sites like Kalshi and Polymarket. In the investment arena, margin debt is at record highs (as shown below), and zero-day-to-expiry (0DTE) stock options now account for approximately 50 percent of all options volume. Furthermore, the number of...