From Spoiled Sons of Liberty to Surveillance Leviathan: America’s Six Republics and the Myth of Eternal Union

Stocks, Bonds Slide As Ceasefire Hopes Fade It's Day 27 of the war: stocks and bonds fell globally as ceasefire optimism fades given mixed messages on progress toward ending the war in Iran and growing uncertainty over Iran’s willingness to engage in talks about a ceasefire in the Middle East sent oil prices higher. Futures gapped lower just after 5am ET, when Axios reported that the Pentagon is developing military options for a “final blow” in Iran that could include ground troops.  Trump urged Iran “to get serious” before it was too late...

Dismal, Tailing 10Y Auction Sees Lowest Foreign Demand Since Jan 2025 As Yields Soar With 30Y yields trading on the wrong side of 5% today, all eyes were on today's 10Y refunding auction to see if it would be ugly enough to push yields to 4.50% or higher. Here is what happened. Just after 1pm, the Treasury announced that the high yield on today's sale of $42 billion in 10Y paper was 4.468%, the highest yield since Jan 2025, and a 0.4bps tail to the When Issued 4.464%, the 4th consecutive...