Interventionism

Key Events This Week: PPI, Industrial Production, Q1 Earnings, Iran War When it comes to the week ahead, clearly the Iran conflict will be the main focus, but there are a few other things to look out on the calendar. First, the Q1 earnings season will start to kick off, with this week’s releases including several US financials. DB's equity strategists have a full preview, and they argue that the bottom up-analyst consensus for S&P 500 earnings growth accelerating into the mid-teens (16%) is justified by a favorable macro environment (full...

Florida & Texas Lead Jobless Claims Rebound From Near Record Lows The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the first time rose last week to 211k (more than the 205k expected), but remain well within the range of the last five years, near record lows... Source: Bloomberg Florida and Texas saw the biggest rise in initial claims while California and Michigan saw the largest declines... Continuing jobless claims also rose modestly last week, up to 1.782mm Americans (but still well below the 1.9mm Maginot Line)... Source: Bloomberg Combined with last week's positive payrolls...

Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said that Hamas will be given a deadline to disarm, and if the group refuses to give up its weapons.  “We estimate that in the coming days, Hamas will be given an ultimatum to disarm and completely demilitarise Gaza,” Smotrich said on Monday. If Hamas does not comply, the army […]