US Treasury Department Issues Waiver for Iranian Oil Sales Amid Switzerland Talks

UMich Sentiment Bounces Off Record Low In June, Inflation Fears Fade After reaching all-time record lows in May, analysts expected UMich's Sentiment index to rebound modestly in preliminary June data and it did, up from 44.8 to 48.9 (well above 46.0 exp), with consumers experiencing some relief due to the early-month easing in gasoline prices. Source: Bloomberg "This measured improvement in sentiment was widespread, seen across age, education, and political party," said Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu, adding that "lower-income consumers exhibited a particularly strong sentiment increase, consistent with the fact that...

Key Events This Week: PPI, Industrial Production, Q1 Earnings, Iran War When it comes to the week ahead, clearly the Iran conflict will be the main focus, but there are a few other things to look out on the calendar. First, the Q1 earnings season will start to kick off, with this week’s releases including several US financials. DB's equity strategists have a full preview, and they argue that the bottom up-analyst consensus for S&P 500 earnings growth accelerating into the mid-teens (16%) is justified by a favorable macro environment (full...

Ugly 7Y Auction Has Lowest Bid To Cover Since September, Biggest Tail Since 2024 After two "terrible" coupon auctions earlier this week, moments ago the Treasury concluded the week's final auction when it sold $44 billion in 7 Year paper. It may not have been quite as terrible as the previous two, but it wasn't much stronger either. Starting at the top, the auction stopped with a high yield of 4.255%, up sharply from 3.790% in February and the highest since Jan 2025. It also tailed the When Issued 4.247% by...