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Fear Of The Signal: Why The State Urgently Wants To Bind Prediction Markets
Fear Of The Signal: Why The State Urgently Wants To Bind Prediction Markets
Authored by Angelo Monaco via The Mises Institute,
A predictive market like Polymarket or Kalshi is a financial exchange where people buy and sell contracts based on the outcome of real-world events. The price of a contract fluctuates between one cent and 99 cents based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the crowd’s collective probability estimate that the event will happen. If the event occurs, the contract settles at one dollar, allowing accurate forecasters to profit while aggregating...
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May 20, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Trump Admin Announces Criminal Charges Against Former Cuba President Raul Castro
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Update (1300ET): As we wrote earlier in anticipation, the US sought to unseal an indictment against former Cuban President Raúl Castro, sharply escalating a standoff with Havana as the Trump administration attempts to force change on the island after nearly seven decades of communist rule.
The charges are related to the shooting of two humanitarian planes in 1996.
The Department of Justice asked to unseal the indictment against Castro and five other people in a filing in federal court in Florida on...
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Sep 25, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Yemen's Saudi-Backed President Calls On Citizens To Mobilize, In Sign Of Desperation
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The Ansar Allah movement, commonly called the Houthis, have remained the most recognizable name and force in Yemen of late, but lesser known among many headline consumers is the country's internationally recognized government, which is directly backed by the Saudis and recognized by the United Nations.
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Source: Iranian presidency's officeThe general...
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May 20, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Could Deep Blue California Elect A Republican Governor?
Could Deep Blue California Elect A Republican Governor?
Authored by Brad Jones via The Epoch Times,
As tensions mount in the high stakes race for California governor, early results show Republicans have returned more than 905,000 ballots ahead of the June 2 primary election—a massive surge compared with the last governor’s race during the 2022 midterms.
Ballots from Republicans made up 37 percent of the early ballot returns—up 11 percent from four years ago at this point in the primary process, while those from Democratic voters have dropped by 13 percent, according...
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