Fear Of The Signal: Why The State Urgently Wants To Bind Prediction Markets

Trump Tells Aides US Preparing For Extended Blockade, But Could Be Open To Interim Deal With Iran Summary Trump prepares for 'extended blockade' - WSJ reports he has informed aides of risky planning. Trump TS claim: Tehran has informed Washington they are in a "state of collapse" and that the Iranians want the US to "open the Hormuz Strait" - as 'tank tops' loom. Trump doesn't appear open to Iran's proposal which hinges on US naval blockade ending & nuclear issue being pushed to future negotiations (CNN). Tehran working on revised plan to be...

“We Must Leap Forward Into New Energy” - Canaccord’s Inaugural Nuclear Nexus Conference  A new report from Canaccord Genuity captures the main threads from the firm’s first Nuclear Nexus conference, where fission and fusion developers, academics, and investors gathered to confront the practical barriers to scaling nuclear power.  The event highlighted a shared recognition that surging electricity demand from AI data centers “finds itself bottle-necked by the physical reality of the grid”, forcing a hard look at fuel supply chains, regulatory timelines, and technology choices that can actually deliver power this...

UMich Sentiment Bounces Off Record Low In June, Inflation Fears Fade After reaching all-time record lows in May, analysts expected UMich's Sentiment index to rebound modestly in preliminary June data and it did, up from 44.8 to 48.9 (well above 46.0 exp), with consumers experiencing some relief due to the early-month easing in gasoline prices. Source: Bloomberg "This measured improvement in sentiment was widespread, seen across age, education, and political party," said Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu, adding that "lower-income consumers exhibited a particularly strong sentiment increase, consistent with the fact that...