Trump Claims Israel and Iran Want a Ceasefire

Jobless Claims Refuse To Show Any Signs Of AI Jobpocalypse The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the first time fell to 209k last week (below expectations), continuing to show absolutely on signs of any labor market stress... Source: Bloomberg That is basically unchanged since 2021. Continuing jobless claims ticked up modestly but remains below 1.8 million Americans (just off two year lows)... Source: Bloomberg So, despite the tsunami of headlines every day about the AI jobpocalypse, 'hard' data shows no signs of any pain yet (wait until the severance packages run dry)... ...

Turkey Dumped 58 Tons Of Gold After Iran War Started, Slamming Price There has been much speculation about the mystery seller(s) that sent gold sliding into a bear market from its January high: was it a sovereign seeking to plug holes in their budget from the recent surge in oil, a "market maker" trying to spark stop loss liquidations, or just retail investors taking profit after one of the best years in history for the precious metal? Today we learned the identity of at least one of the sellers: Turkey’s central...

Prospective Homebuyers Face Another Year Without Affordability Relief Goldman economist Ronnie Walker has some bad news for prospective homebuyers: while the housing market appears soft but broadly stabilizing, affordability pressures are unlikely to abate anytime soon. Walker expects mortgage rates to remain elevated through next year, while national home prices are still forecasted to rise modestly. That means buyers waiting for a price correction or lower rates may be disappointed, as the market remains locked in an ultra-low-turnover environment where high borrowing costs, limited affordability, and sticky prices keep many folks...