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Is Europe Sliding Towards Stagflation?

Is Europe Sliding Towards Stagflation? Authored by Daniel Lacalle, Europe is not yet in recession, but the latest business and consumer surveys show that the risk is no longer remote. The euro area’s flash composite PMI fell to 48.6 in April from 50.7 in March, moving below the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction and signalling a quarterly GDP decline of around 0.1 per cent after a 0.2 per cent gain in the first quarter, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. At the same time, the European Commission’s flash consumer-confidence indicator dropped to -20.6 in the...
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