Vance Reportedly Questions Pentagon's Rosy Assessment Of Iran War

Jobless Claims Hover Near Record Lows Sustaining 'No Hire, No Fire' Narrative The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the first time was flat from the prior week at 210.5k (215k exp). Simply put, these numbers are hovering near their lowest levels since 1969... Source: Bloomberg Continuing claims also printed below expectations at 1.819 million Americans. This is the lowest level since May 2024... Source: Bloomberg Finally, as a reminder, sentiment surveys suggest the labor market is bifurcated with 'jobs hard to get' but joblessness not surging... Source: Bloomberg That chart reinforces the 'no...

Key Events This Week: PMIs, Productivity And Consumer Sentiment As has become customary for Monday, we have seen a dramatic surge in risk assets (3rd Monday in a row) on what at least superficially appears to be de-escalation after Trump announced strikes against Iran's power plant would be delayed by 5 days as a result of talks with Iran, talks which at least Iran's domestic news sources have so far denied. And the market lurches from headline to headline, it feels somewhat trivial to focus on the week ahead data calendar,...