Master And Commander-In-Chief

March Jobs Shocker: Payrolls Soar By 178K Most Since 2024, Blowing Away All Estimates; Unemployment Rate Drops We titled our nonfarm payroll preview post "a substantial bounce" and boy were we right: with consensus expecting a material rebound from February's negative print (which was revised as usual worse, from -92K to -133K), what the BLS reported instead was a huge beat to expectations of a 65K increase, with March jobs reportedly rising by 178K, the biggest increase since December 2024. The number was driven entirely by a surge in private workers...

US Southern Command on Tuesday announced that its forces launched three separate strikes on alleged drug-running boats in the waters of Latin America the night before, blowing up three small vessels and killing at least 11 people. The command said that two of the boats were targeted in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, where eight people […]

Qatari LNG Tanker Abruptly U-Turns In Hormuz Chokepoint After Weekend Transit Breakthrough Day 72 of the U.S.-Iran conflict opened with yet another failed diplomatic off-ramp. Tehran on Sunday submitted a counterproposal to the Trump administration's plan to end the war, but President Trump swiftly rejected it as "totally unacceptable," pushing WTI crude futures roughly 3% higher to $98 a barrel as traders slightly repriced the war-risk premium higher for a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption. Tehran's counterproposal was a major focus over the weekend, but what caught our attention Saturday morning was...