Trump Eyes Limited Iran Strikes, Hormuz Blockade After Peace Talks Collapse

The US Must Be Confident It Has A Plan In Place To Lower Oil Prices Once It Strikes Iran By Michael Every of Rabobank Lots Of Xs Vs Lots Of Ys US vs. Iran: The media today talk of a “90% chance of war” and “as soon as Saturday.” We’ve long stressed there’s a high likelihood of a fresh US-Iran conflict, recent US logistics movements said soon, and an Axios headline yesterday refocused oil markets on it. The balance of risks now tilts to a US strike after market close Friday, even...

FOMC Minutes Preview: Scrutiny For Hawkish Bias Today's FOMC minutes will be scrutinized for further insight into policymakers' appetite for additional rate hikes and the thinking behind the Committee's hawkish shift at last month's meeting. The minutes are an account of the June 17th meeting and therefore will not reflect subsequent developments, including the softer-than-expected June nonfarm payrolls report or Chair Warsh's appearance at the ECB's Sintra Forum. Nonetheless, as Newsquawk writes in its FOMC Minutes preview, the June meeting, Warsh's first as Fed Chair, marked a significant shift under...

'Quality Learing Center' And 20 Other Somali-Linked Businesses Raided By FBI, Homeland Security In Minnesota Federal agents from the FBI and Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) executed court-authorized search warrants at more than 20 locations across the Minneapolis area early Tuesday morning, targeting businesses primarily linked to the Somali-American community as part of an ongoing criminal fraud investigation. Fox News congressional correspondent Bill Melugin reported that the Department of Justice confirmed the operation to the network, stating it involves "court-authorized law enforcement activity as part of an ongoing fraud investigation." A separate...