Once Again, A Crisis Raises the Question: Why Does the State Exist?

Regulators Find Their Situational Awareness: Fed, BoE Probe Bank Exposure To Jane Street After AI Fund Meltdown Better late than never... Nearly two months after Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness went from a $45 billion AI juggernaut to a Citadel block trade after it dumped its entire public book on Ken Griffen's doorstep at a 10% discount and six weeks after we learned that Jane Street lost $15 billion in July, its first down month in a decade, central bankers on both sides of the Atlantic have noticed that something may have happened. According to the...

Wall Street Keeps Testing AI Traders, But Most Are Still Underperforming Recent trading competitions suggest large language models are still unreliable portfolio managers, according to Bloomberg. Tests involving models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI have often delivered underwhelming results: many lost money, traded excessively, and made erratic decisions despite receiving identical prompts. In several cases, models appeared unable to stick to coherent strategies for more than a few trading sessions. Bloomberg writes that one of the clearest examples came from Alpha Arena, a competition created by startup Nof1. Eight models were...