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The Market Is Grappling With Two Major Unknowns
The Market Is Grappling With Two Major Unknowns
By Stefan Koopman, Senior Macro Strategist at Rabobank
President Trump began this week’s Monday‑morning jawboning ahead of schedule. Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday evening as he returned to Washington DC, he talked up the negotiations with Iran, said that Iran’s new leadership already constitutes “regime change” and praised the “deal” with Iranian speaker Ghalibaf to allow up to 20 Pakistan-flagged oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian (!) escort.
Markets have already brushed aside Trump’s comments,...
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Mar 31, 2026 / Tyler Durden
No THAC0 Tuesday
No THAC0 Tuesday
By Michael Every of Rabobank
No TACO And No THAC0
The Global Daily yesterday noted lots of reasons to worry about this Gulf War 3 - today there are far more. However, as made clear since the start of this crisis, there is no way to say, “This is silly,” or to ‘go home’ and return to ‘normality’. Everyone in the war except the US *is* at home.
Israel is targeting Iran’s leaders and PM Netanyahu says the country is only “over halfway” to its war goals, with no timeline...
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Apr 23, 2026 / Kyle Anzalone
USS George HW Bush Arrives in the Middle East
US Central Command (CENTCOM) said that the USS George HW Bush aircraft carrier arrived in its area of responsibility. The US now has three aircraft carrier strike groups in the Middle East. “Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush (CVN 77) sails in the Indian Ocean in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility,” CENTCOM […]
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Jun 16, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Stellar 20Y Auction Stops Through, With Highest Foreign Demand In 2 Years
Stellar 20Y Auction Stops Through, With Highest Foreign Demand In 2 Years
In a quiet day for stocks, which are now trading near session lows, which in turn is prompting a bid for safety, the Treasury complex was already trading at the best levels of the day ahead of today's Treasury auction. Then just after 1pm, the stellar results from today's 20Y auction (technically a 19 Year 11-month reopening of cusip UV8), confirmed the solid demand for US paper.
Today's sale of $13BN in 20Y paper was solid from top to...
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