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"There's A Lot Of Concern": GOP Lawmakers Predict Midterm Disaster If Troops Deployed To Iran

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Mar 31, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Conference Board Confidence Unexpectedly Jumped Amid War In March
Conference Board Confidence Unexpectedly Jumped Amid War In March Despite war (and rising gas prices) now on respondents' minds (the survey period for preliminary results was March 1 to 24), it is perhaps surprising that The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence rose more than expected in March (from 91.0 to 91.8), considerably better than the 87.9 expected. Even more intriguing, the Present Situation rose from 120.0 to 123.3 (118 exp) while Expectations fell from 72.0 to 70.9 (68.4 exp) Source: Bloomberg Among demographic groups, confidence on a six-month moving average basis continued to moderate...
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Apr 8, 2026 / Tyler Durden
A Pause To Negotiate A Deal? Some Caveats...
A Pause To Negotiate A Deal? Some Caveats... Authored by Peter Tchir via Academy Securities, Basically we wound up at the better end of our “base case” in yesterday’s Spaghetti Western, and you could argue we made it all the way into our best case of “ceasefire” (I’m reluctant to label it that, as you will see, but it is touching on that end). I do think we are far from a “real deal”. In any case, markets are responding according as both sides send people to Pakistan to negotiate a deal. Stocks are...
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Apr 8, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Trader Makes $23 Million In One Day With Massive S&P Call Purchase Hours Before Ceasefire
Trader Makes $23 Million In One Day With Massive S&P Call Purchase Hours Before Ceasefire A trader who made a large bet on a stocks rocketing in the coming weeks is up about $23 million in paper profit today, according to Bloomberg. The unknown trader spent $12 million premium on 6800 lots of 6950 S&P 500 Index Options (SPX) calls for May 8 expiry, when the index was at 6556.21; the trade was executed around 10:20 a.m. Eastern on Tuesday, just hours before Trump's announcement of a 2-week ceasefire which sent...
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