Iran War Will Cost the US 10,000 Joes Per Month, Push Inflation Over 4%

Hope And Reality By Teeuwe Mevissen, Senior Macro Strategist at Rabobank Since the start of the Iran war the market has had a tendency to view the likelihood of a peace agreement with a ‘glass half full’ attitude. Once again, markets have found some comfort in encouraging remarks from both the US and Iran, even though both sides are making it clear that there are still major sticking points on critical issues. US Secretary of State Rubio has suggested that there are “some goods signs” towards finding a resolution. This is despite Iran’s...

Futures Rally Amid Fresh Iran Peace Hopes, All Eyes On SpaceX US stock futures and global markets are higher, extending their rally while oil hit the lowest level in months following fresh reports that the US and Iran are nearing a provisional agreement to end their war, even if top leadership has yet to sign off. Meanwhile, all eyes are on SpaceX - the world's biggest IPO- where shadow markets are pricing a spike of at least 35% for SpaceX on its debut, while online market see odds of a...

The US Must Be Confident It Has A Plan In Place To Lower Oil Prices Once It Strikes Iran By Michael Every of Rabobank Lots Of Xs Vs Lots Of Ys US vs. Iran: The media today talk of a “90% chance of war” and “as soon as Saturday.” We’ve long stressed there’s a high likelihood of a fresh US-Iran conflict, recent US logistics movements said soon, and an Axios headline yesterday refocused oil markets on it. The balance of risks now tilts to a US strike after market close Friday, even...