Article
TACO Vs TAW: Fade This (Equity) Rally
TACO Vs TAW: Fade This (Equity) Rally
Authored by Peter Tchir via Academy Securities,
Ceasefire?
The U.S., via Pakistan, and apparently consistent with negotiations being carried out by Witkoff and Kushner, has delivered a 15 point agreement for a ceasefire.
Markets responded with oil down (Brent futures, at 5:30 am are back down below $100, from a high of $105 on Tuesday).
Stock futures and treasuries are rebounding as well (even the 2-year, after the drubbing it took after yesterday’s auction noticeable for an absence of “direct” bids).
Many of the Polymarket Strait of Hormuz “prediction”...
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FOMC Minutes Signal Fed Saw "Dual Sided" Risks From Iran War
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Since the last FOMC meeting (March 18th), a lot has happened (war, more war, and now less war), and rate-change expectations hawkishly surged, then dovishly normalized today...
And given the last 24 hours, perhaps this information is more useful now, as we return to macro-fundamentals from geopolitical chaos running markets.
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Fed officials wrestled with starkly differing...
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The Petroyuan Myth: War Failed To Shake The Dollar
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Authored by Antonio Graceffo via The Epoch Times,
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The Kremlin drafted a memo this year outlining seven areas of potential economic convergence with Washington, including a proposed return to dollar settlement for Russian energy transactions. The stated rationale in the memo is that dollar integration would stabilize Russia’s balance of payments and foreign exchange markets. Russia never actually wanted to transact...
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