What Do Bonds Know That The Stock Market Doesn't?

"The Situation Is Dire": Half Of Available Global LNG Tankers Are Trapped In The Persian Gulf There are thousands of ships in the global oil tanker fleet, by some estimates nearly as many as 9000 (and that excludes sanctions vessels). Just a fraction of these are either waiting to enter the blockaded straits of hormuz, or to leave it.  By contrast, the global LNG fleet is a tiny fraction, and now most of it is stuck inside the Persian Gulf.  According to the WSJ, at least 20 LNG carriers a bout half...

Inflation Fears Plummet As UMich's Democratic Bias Is Exposed After rebounding strongly in preliminary February data (as Democrats came to their senses over the fearmongered Trump tariff-flation), the final UMich sentiment survey print slipped lower with the headline lowered from 57.3 to 56.6. Both Current Conditions and Expectations were lower than the flash print with the latter falling to 2 month lows and the former holding at 4-month highs... Does anyone else think its weird that all the numbers were exactly the same at 56.6 Source: Bloomberg Democrats and Republicans led the decrease...

Bessent Leads Trade Talks With China In Paris Ahead Of Trump-Xi Summit Ahead of the upcoming Trump-Xi summit, China and US have begun a fresh round of trade talks to set the stage for the main event.  Trade negotiators led by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng held talks in Paris on Sunday to map out plans for a leaders’ summit later this month. The first day of the talks concluded around 6 pm local time, and the delegations will meet again on Monday, Bloomberg reported. The trade...