I, Pencil

Europe's Looming Jet Fuel Crisis: Hormuz, Policy Failure, And A Self-Inflicted Supply Shock Submitted by Thomas Kolbe Politics has established a new routine. Right at 12 noon, prices at German gas stations now rise day after day. The government’s pricing decree, a hastily assembled mechanism, acts like an accelerant in an already dramatically strained fuel supply situation. Anyone with rudimentary economic understanding already knew that this form of price regulation would amount to political posturing with fatal consequences. The market is reacting as expected. Gas station operators anticipate general price increases and indirectly...

Israeli artillery strikes targeted the headquarters of the Indonesian contingent of the UNIFIL peacekeepers in Adshit al-Qusayr, in the Marjayoun District of southern Lebanon on Sunday, killing two of the peacekeepers and injuring two others. The attack comes amid the expansion of the Israeli ground invasion, and while the UN equivocated, saying that they couldn’t […]

Oil & Stocks Mixed To Start Week As War Escalates & Gamma Unclenches Update (1845ET): After an initial kneejerk higher in oil and lower in stocks, things have settled a little with both hovering around unch... Brent is sliding a little from Friday's highs... Equity futs are back around unch... There's a long way til dawn... *  *  * Following a weekend where geopolitical headlines swung from "winding down" (Friday after the close) to threats, deadlines, and "obliteration" tit-for-tat talk suggesting no end in sight, it is perhaps no surprise that oil prices are up...