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Weather & Weak Demand Drive US PMIs Down To 10-Month Lows In February, But...
Weather & Weak Demand Drive US PMIs Down To 10-Month Lows In February, But...
While 'hard' data has been fading modestly in recent weeks, 'soft' survey data has bounced back but today we get a first glimpse at February's PMIs from S&P Global to see if that survey-based confidence is continuing.
It is not as both Manufacturing and Services PMIs dropped notably.,
Flash US Services PMI Business Activity Index: 52.3 (January: 52.7). 10-month low.
Flash US Manufacturing PMI: 51.2 (January: 52.4). 7-month low.
Source: Bloomberg
Overall that dragged the US Composite PMI down...
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Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator
Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator
Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,
Wage growth peaked four years ago. Since 1985, it has led CPI by three to seventeen months in every single cycle. The May 4.2% inflation print is the noise. Watch the wages.
Headline CPI just printed 4.2% year-over-year for May. The highest reading since April 2023. The 10-year Treasury punched above 4.6% on the back of it, then pulled back recently. Energy ran +23.5% over the past twelve months on the Iran war, accounting for roughly 60% of the...
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