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No Country for Old Probability Theorists
Thoughts on risk, uncertainty, and economic action.
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Mar 23, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Countdown Begins: Former Central Bank Advisor Warns Food-Price Shock Could Hit "Within 6 To 9 Months"
Countdown Begins: Former Central Bank Advisor Warns Food-Price Shock Could Hit "Within 6 To 9 Months"
Alexandra Prokopenko, a fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center and a former advisor at the Bank of Russia, warned on X that the near-shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered an energy shock that risks morphing into a "slower, more consequential story": fertilizers.
"A near-shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz is triggering a supply shock that will show up in food prices 6–9 months from now," Prokopenko wrote on X, adding, "Putin's gains...
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Mar 12, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Nearly 20% Of House Hunters Looking To Relocate: Report
Nearly 20% Of House Hunters Looking To Relocate: Report
Authored by Naveen Athrappully via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),
In the fourth quarter of 2025, 18.8 percent of house hunters across the United States were looking to relocate to a different part of the country.
A house for sale in Washington on May 19, 2025. Madalina Vasiliu/The Epoch Times
This was up from 17.9 percent a year back and 15.9 percent five years ago during the COVID pandemic period, real estate brokerage Redfin said in a March 10 statement.
During the pandemic in 2020...
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Apr 4, 2026 / Tyler Durden
Netanyahu Boasts 70% Of Iran's Steel Production Capacity Destroyed
Netanyahu Boasts 70% Of Iran's Steel Production Capacity Destroyed
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated in Friday remarks that Israeli airstrikes have wiped out roughly 70% of Iran's steel production capacity, dealing a major blow to its ability to manufacture weapons - from missiles and drones to ships.
"Together with our American friends, we continue to crush the terror regime in Iran. We are eliminating commanders, bombing bridges, bombing infrastructures," Netanyahu began in a video statement.
Illustrative image, via Steel Radar
"In recent days, the Air Force has destroyed 70% of Iran's steel...
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