The Horrifying Endgame in Ukraine

US envoy Steve Witkoff said in an interview with Fox News that aired on Sunday that President Trump was “curious” that Iran hasn’t “capitulated” to US demands due to the major US military buildup in the Middle East and threats of war. “I don’t want to use the word frustrated because [Trump] understands he has […]

Key Events This Holiday-Shortened Week: Payrolls, PMI, ISM, Retail Sales And Fed Speech Looking at the week ahead, we should start to learn about the economic consequences of the conflict, as several data releases for March are out which cover the period since the strikes began on February 28. In the US, that includes the monthly jobs report on Friday - which falls on a Holday when stocks are closed, while bonds are open for half a day -  where economists expect nonfarm payrolls to have risen by +60k in March. As...

WTI Dips After Big Crude Inventory Build, US Production Slows Oil prices are down overnight but playing headline roulette with every word that comes out of any leaders' (or non-leaders') mouth as ceasefire chatter (now denied) has WTI riding a roller-coaster (but below $100 once again as we write). “Flows and actions matter more than words,” said Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst at UBS Group AG. And while inventory data may not be the market-moving event in this new regime, it is useful to see signs of stockpiling or demand. DOE Crude +5.45mm (+10.3mm...