The Sy Hersh effect: killing the messenger, ignoring the message

Warsh wouldn't be offered the job if he were a departure from the usual model of Fed chairs. He'll inflate plenty, especially when recession hits.

Fed Independence Is Sacred... Or So We've Been Told Authored by Richard Roberts via RealClearMarkets.com, For the better part of a year, many had become convinced that the Federal Reserve's independence was in its final days. The narrative rested on two prongs. First, an FOMC browbeaten by relentless public attacks, threats of removal, and a Justice Department criminal probe into Chair Jerome Powell. The pressure, many argued, had grown so intense that Fed decisions would no longer be trusted to reflect economics rather than politics. Second, a new chair expected to arrive in May...

Is Credit Whispering, Or Screaming? By Peter Tchir of Academy Securities Is Credit Whispering? Or Screaming? For the past couple of years, it has been relatively safe to assume credit is well behaved and relatively range bound. It is unclear if that remains the case. We may be in a situation where the AI spend, the AI displacement, and the Working Poor are forming a storm of some sort. How severe remains to be seen, but for the first time in a while it is a real concern for me. My inclination has been...